New companion site for the paper World population aging as a Function of Period Demographic Conditions.
Fernando Fernandes
de·mog·ra·phy
AmE /dɪˈmɑː.ɡrə.fi/ · BrE /dɪˈmɒɡ.rə.fi/
noun
(from Ancient Greek dêmos, 'people', and -graphía, 'description') — the scientific study of human populations: their size, structure, and distribution, and how these change through fertility, mortality, and migration.
I study how populations age and what a changing age structure means for population health, economies, and institutions. My methods are those of formal demography — decomposition, life-table analysis, and harmonizing vital statistics, census microdata, and international population databases.
Recent updates
Invited talk at Cedeplar, UFMG, with Paulo Paiva: Revisiting the fiscal impacts of demographic dynamics on Brazil's general social security system (RGPS).
Book chapter, with Cássio M. Turra: A transição demográfica no Brasil: fundamentos teóricos e evidências históricas. [The demographic transition in Brazil: theoretical fundamentals and historical evidences].
Research report, with Paulo Paiva: Revisiting the fiscal impacts of demographic dynamics on Brazil's general social security system (RGPS).
Research note, with Cássio M. Turra and Marcia C. Castro: Mortality by cause of death in Brazil: a research note on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. published in Demography.
Selected publications
2026
Fernandes, Fernando, and Paulo Paiva. 2026. Revisitando Os Impactos Fiscais Da Dinâmica Demográfica Sobre o RGPS: Muito Além Dos Ajustes de Curto Prazo. [Revisiting the Fiscal Impacts of Demographic Dynamics on the General Social Security System (RGPS): Far Beyond Short-Term Adjustments]. Imagine Brasil. Fundação Dom Cabral.
[URL]
Turra, Cassio M., and Fernando Fernandes. 2026. “A transição demográfica no Brasil: fundamentos teóricos e evidências históricas. [The demographic transition in Brazil: theoretical fundamentals and historical evidences].” In Populações e desenvolvimento: 30 anos pensando, repensando e construindo o Brasil, edited by Richarlls Martins and Paula Miranda-Ribeiro. Círculo de Giz.
[URL]
2025
Fernandes, Fernando, Cássio M. Turra, Giovanny V. A. França, and Marcia C. Castro. 2025. “Mortality by Cause of Death in Brazil: A Research Note on the Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Contribution to Changes in Life Expectancy at Birth.” Demography 62 (2): 381–404.
[DOI]
In the media
CNN Brasil ▶